Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000470 0.000522 0.000577 0.000642 0.000715 0.000796 0.000891
2026-02-08 0.000381 0.000451 0.000533 0.000636 0.000764 0.000918 0.001119
2026-02-15 0.000327 0.000406 0.000503 0.000634 0.000806 0.001028 0.001341
2026-02-22 0.000290 0.000373 0.000481 0.000633 0.000844 0.001133 0.001566
2026-03-01 0.000265 0.000352 0.000469 0.000641 0.000891 0.001250 0.001823
2026-03-08 0.000243 0.000332 0.000456 0.000643 0.000928 0.001357 0.002078
2026-03-15 0.000229 0.000320 0.000452 0.000658 0.000983 0.001496 0.002403
2026-03-22 0.000210 0.000300 0.000432 0.000646 0.000996 0.001569 0.002628
2026-03-29 0.000197 0.000287 0.000422 0.000648 0.001028 0.001675 0.002928
2026-04-05 0.000184 0.000273 0.000411 0.000645 0.001053 0.001771 0.003223
2026-04-12 0.000174 0.000264 0.000404 0.000649 0.001088 0.001889 0.003579
2026-04-19 0.000164 0.000252 0.000393 0.000645 0.001110 0.001985 0.003908
2026-04-26 0.000157 0.000245 0.000389 0.000653 0.001155 0.002134 0.004385
2026-05-03 0.000148 0.000234 0.000378 0.000648 0.001175 0.002239 0.004790
2026-05-10 0.000140 0.000225 0.000369 0.000645 0.001200 0.002356 0.005249
2026-05-17 0.000133 0.000217 0.000361 0.000645 0.001229 0.002486 0.005769
2026-05-24 0.000128 0.000211 0.000358 0.000652 0.001275 0.002661 0.006444
2026-05-31 0.000122 0.000205 0.000353 0.000655 0.001311 0.002817 0.007109
2026-06-07 0.000119 0.000202 0.000354 0.000670 0.001375 0.003052 0.008059
2026-06-14 0.000113 0.000193 0.000342 0.000658 0.001378 0.003137 0.008584
2026-06-21 0.000108 0.000188 0.000337 0.000660 0.001411 0.003303 0.009410
2026-06-28 0.000104 0.000182 0.000331 0.000657 0.001435 0.003447 0.010210
2026-07-05 0.000100 0.000178 0.000327 0.000661 0.001474 0.003641 0.011237